Your north star metric should be a leading indicator of profits

Kodak, Toys R Us, and Blockbuster were market-leading companies with hundreds of millions of dollars in revenue at their peak. During their heydays, nobody could have predicted that they will one day go bankrupt. Yet, they did and, along with that, became a prime example of why revenue or profit is exactly the wrong metric when it comes to predicting the future of the company.

Always pay attention to what’s actionable

Financial metrics are, of course, important from an accounting point of view. But they are strictly backward-looking. They tell you how the company has performed in the past but have very little actionable information for the future. As an entrepreneur, you need to pay attention to where future growth will come from, not simply review the past growth. That’s the job of the accountants. ...  Read the entire post →

Study your most successful customers to set your direction

Setting product and business direction is actually really simple:

  • Study your most successful customers in detail
  • Know why are they more successful than other customers
  • Take those lessons and tweak your product in a way that nudges all other customers to be a bit more like the most successful ones
  • Use your knowledge of the most successful customers to refine your pitch to highlight aspects of your products that your most successful customers get value from.
Your most successful customers are probably also your most underutilized resource

Your most successful customers are the ones who have by themselves discovered the use cases of your products that give them an enormous benefit. When your customers are working so hard to derive value from your product, your job becomes easy. All you need to do then is to interview successful customers and figure out how to make their valued use cases explicit in your product to other less successful customers.

It is also possible that some customers discover a use case of your product that you never designed your product for. When you discover these accidental use cases, highlight them in your marketing pitch to tap into entirely new customer types. ...  Read the entire post →

What kills startups is the lack of feedback

A startup is like a hypothesis inside an entrepreneur’s head and the entire point of the startup journey is to know whether it’s true or false (besides being able to make money).

Feedback – both positive or negative – forces you to iterate towards a better product

Entrepreneurs thrive on feedback from users. Every bit of feedback – even if it is negative – gives them an orientation. In fact, negative feedback is a clear indicator that the entrepreneur has identified the right problem, but perhaps the specific solution that she came up with is lacking.

As an entrepreneur, you should embrace negative feedback because it shows that customers are at least paying attention. What you should fear is silence. If no feedback is coming your way, prospects are not replying to emails, or users are dropping off from the product without telling you why then there’s simply no way for you to iterate. ...  Read the entire post →

Profit overpowers ethics, if left unchecked

We have seen our beloved companies transform into greedy and heartless entities over a period of time. Why does it happen?

Just like individuals, companies are idealist when they’re younger and pragmatic when older

It’s usually not because founders have had a change of heart and they start loving money more than anything else. What typically happens is that incentives in an organization gradually start exclusively prioritizing profits.

This process typically begins when a company raises investment from professional financers like banks or VCs. The number one job of investment professionals is to get a return on their investment. It’s not that investment professionals don’t care about anything else, but if their job exists to make more money from money, that’s what they’ll do. With professional investors onboard, whatever a company does then is seen from the lens of the return that investors can get.  ...  Read the entire post →

Great entrepreneurs think like investors

There are many stakeholders of a business. There are employees, customers, suppliers, management, directors, shareholders, investors, investors’ investors, the government, and society. Things are fine when everyone’s interests are perfectly aligned.

You’d not be able to guess because there is no difference

But the more the number of stakeholders, the harder it is to keep everyone happy. When the interests of stakeholders diverge, an entrepreneur must choose whose interest must be prioritized. The choice, in practice, is hard, because some stakeholders are going to be unhappy when decisions don’t go their way. (Say, when an entrepreneur lays off employees). ...  Read the entire post →

Investors will prioritize financial returns over your ambitions

Investors like talking about what makes a good business. You’ll find angels and VCs on Twitter constantly talking about what makes a good team, how to get product-market fit, and many other such aspects of startups.

Conflict happens when an entrepreneur’s motivation misaligns with investors’ motivation

Given the amount of preaching that the investor community does, it is understandable then that many first-time entrepreneurs end up believing that the VC community invests in companies in order to make them better.

There’s some truth to it as investors are incentivized to see their companies improve. But investors invest in a company to get a good financial return in the company. This is a trivial observation but it can be easily overshadowed by the apparent we-exist-to-help-entrepreneurs gyan that is ever pervasive in the VC land. Perhaps the world would be a better place if most VCs openly talk about their own incentives rather than talking about what businesses should be doing. ...  Read the entire post →

Business quality is determined by one metric: return on invested capital

The financial purpose of a business is to generate over its lifetime a higher return for its shareholders than what they would have gotten by investing in risk-free options (such as government bonds).

ROIC: one metric to rule them all

Imagine there is an entrepreneur with a business proposal and she requires $100 as the initial investment. She reaches out to you and pitches her idea to seek your investment. To make a decision, you’ll probably analyze and estimate how much return you’d get in return for the money you give to her. If you usually get 6% interest annually in a savings bank account (which happens in India), you would expect a higher return than that from the entrepreneur (especially since there’s a risk of losing your entire $100 while your money in the bank is virtually risk-free).  ...  Read the entire post →

Your business is worth all future profits it is expected to generate

It’s easy to get bewildered by the billion-dollar valuations of startups that are operating under heavy losses. If you’ve ever wondered why would anyone pay for a company that’s not making any money, you’re not alone.

It pays to study how financial assets are valued

Early in a company’s life when there is much uncertainty about its future, the valuation process is more of an art than a science. However, it’s not a blind science. No venture capitalist will just hand over money to you because they like you.

Valuation, even when it’s an art, is grounded on a very simple financial principle that an asset is worth discounted profits it is expected to produce over its lifetime. The term discounted means that the cash in the near term is more valuable than the cash in the long term. It’s easy to can find the exact formula for calculating the discounted cashflow.  ...  Read the entire post →

Recruit exceptional people by showing them a promised land

A recruitment strategy should be indistinguishable from a marketing strategy. Entrepreneurs end up spending a lot of time understanding the market, talking to customers, building personas, and customizing their marketing messages to customer segments. However, they often fail to realize that recruiting people to work for you is no different from recruiting customers to use your product.

To recruit exceptional people, you have to first understand what drives them

It’s true that the key difference is that you’re asking for money from customers while you’re offering to pay money to prospective employees. However, for exceptional people, the money offered is a commodity because many other companies are offering them the same or higher money. Exceptional people never look for jobs; jobs look for them. ...  Read the entire post →

Moats for deeptech startups

I’ve written earlier that startups shouldn’t solve technically challenging problems. I still maintain the same view but wanted to add an important caveat to that claim.

The caveat is that startups shouldn’t exclusively rely on a specific technical innovation as their main advantage. I’m talking about narrow technical innovations such as making a better internal combustion engine, cheaper glue, and so on. Startups generally protect such specific innovations via patents but they’re not sufficient protection and hence quite weak as moats. ...  Read the entire post →