Nobody cares about your idea.

The most important question you should be asking while developing a product / startup is this:

why would anyone change their behaviour to accommodate your product?

And the only correct answer to this question is that they’re *already* exhibiting the behaviour and your product will simply help them be >2x more efficient on a dimension they cares about.

Behaviour change is tough. Internalize that nobody changes their behaviour for marginal or incremental benefits.

And nobody certainly cares about your idea. ...  Read the entire post →

A proposal to prevent job losses from AGI

We may have only a narrow window before big AI labs automate away all economically useful work and centralize wealth. We’re certainly on that path right now.

Some people want to pause all AI development because of this risk of human disempowerment (+ also possible extinction risk). But stopping tech development also means we give up on benefits and abundance that could come along.

Is there a middle ground? Can we keep reaping the benefits of AI without rendering humans obsolete.

I think so. Here’s how we can probably achieve it. ...  Read the entire post →

Science of habit building

This essay is part of the series in which I talk about my learnings and insights building a habit coaching app (Nintee) in 2024. It didn’t ultimately work out because an app has marginal influence in a human’s life (v/s that of friends, family, culture and immediate environment). Most apps that work in the category operate like gyms (charge upfront when the motivation is high, and be okay with high churn). I had raised VC funding for it and later it became clear to me that this wouldn’t be a VC scale business, so I shut it down and returned the remaining funding. Hope the insights learned along the way would turn out to be valuable to others. ...  Read the entire post →

Will we forget what pre-LLM era looked like?

Was chatting with a friend yesterday and it hit us that pretty soon we will forget what it was to live without LLMs.

It’ll be inconceivable to us that there was a time when if you had a question, you did not get an intelligent instant answer for it.

Some more interesting predictions that came out from our conversation:

– Maybe we will stop having multiple softwares; just one agent that spins up personalized software on demand

– Maybe soon we will have so much automation that our AI agents will predict what we want to do next, leaving us to wonder what’s our role when we open up our work laptops ...  Read the entire post →

Are we headed towards a stable dystopia?

I’ve been thinking about how AI is going to shape up society and one particular scenario seems like a high-probability outcome to me. Here’s how it could play out:

• AI automates more and more of human-work

• Returns from this automation flow back to capital holders, making them wealthier

• As incomes of masses drop, government ignores/abolishes income tax but rather taxes corporate income / wealth for its needs

• Rich isolate themselves (as they do) and use AI-enabled drones/robots to protect themselves ...  Read the entire post →

Crossposting from X to my WordPress

Today I built a nifty little utility that monitors which of my tweets has /syndicated tag in it, and then crossposts automatically to my blog (invertedpassion). This is done via webhooks from Typefully, the app I use to post my tweets.

If all goes well, I should see this both as a tweet and a blog post.

I did this because I have started writing long-form content here, but it irks me that my thoughts will be behind a walled garden. So, this workflow will enable me to post once and syndicate everywhere!

In case you’re interested to know more, see https://alexn.org/blog/2023/09/21/post-once-syndicate-everywhere-pose/

[2025 review] Life is a holiday!

Ok, this was a phenomenal year for me. The vibe of the year is cleanly captured by what I had scribbled on a whiteboard on Jan 3rd, 2025.

To my amazement and giddiness, the feeling still holds up as the year wraps up. Let’s see what all kept this spirit alive.

Brief interlude: the yearly review has become a sort of an annual tradition for me. In case you’re interested, you can check out previous years’ reviews too: 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020 and the entire decade before that.

🫡 Exited Wingify

I had started Wingify in 2010 (when I was 22) and in Jan 2025 (when I was 37) exited my stake to Everstone, a private equity firm. As you can imagine, Wingify consumed the entirety of my early youth. It taught me about startups, business, leadership, human psychology and put me in contact with an incredible set of people who I’m proud to have worked with (especially my co-founder Sparsh and CTO Ankit Jain). ...  Read the entire post →

Human behavior is an intuition-pump for AI risk

I just finished this excellent book: If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies.

This book influenced my opinions on p(doom). Before reading the book, I was uncertain about whether AI could pose an existential risk for humanity. After reading the book, I’m starting to entertain the possibility that the probability of doom from a superintelligent AI is above zero. I’m still not sure where I would put my own p(doom) but it’s definitely non-zero.

The question I’m interested in is this: ...  Read the entire post →

Notes on doing science and research

I know it’s been awfully quiet here. I’ve not posted for a while.

But I’ve been writing prolifically somewhere else. Earlier this year, I started an AI lab called Lossfunk and that is what has kept me (happily) busy. We have a newsletter there called Lossfunk Letters where I write very often, so if you’re interested in my thoughts, please follow that publication.

The initial posts there are about me trying to build a mental model for what is that thing we call scientific research. I explored this topic via a series of posts: ...  Read the entire post →

Why is there something rather than nothing?

Brace yourself for some wild speculations!

Been thinking if nothing is even possible.

I think it’s impossible for nothing to exist.

When we’re sleeping, it’s not as if we’re feeling nothing. There’s actually no feeling then. It’s as if such moments don’t even exist, and that’s a hint..

So the more I think, the harder it’s for me to imagine nothing existing. Can you really imagine no concepts existing? No numbers, no space, no time, no blip – just nothing at all. If you can imagine that, something (the imaginer) must exist. ...  Read the entire post →